Pivoting in the Global South: Crisis, Resilience & Shifting Power | J&J’s Fireside – Episode 3

Originally featured on Counterpoint, a weekly newspaper and online platform offering in-depth analysis of Bangladesh and global issues, this episode of J&J’s Fireside | Episode 3 reflects on a defining year of disruption, adaptation, and transition across the Global South.

Set against a backdrop of political change, economic uncertainty, and the passing of former Prime Minister Begum Khaleda Zia, Episode 3 brings together macroeconomist Jyoti Rahman and Md. Rubaiyath Sarwar, Managing Director of Innovision Consulting, for a year-in-review conversation on what 2025 revealed and what 2026 may hold.

From Dhaka and Australia, the hosts unpack a central theme shaping economies and societies alike: the need to constantly pivot in an increasingly unstable global environment.

Global South in Transition: Crisis, Policy Shifts & Structural Uncertainty

The episode explores how a series of global shocks are reshaping development pathways:

  • The impact of shifting U.S. policies, including tariffs and the restructuring of development finance
  • Disruptions in global aid architecture and the ripple effects across development programs
  • Ongoing geopolitical tensions and conflicts affecting economic stability
  • Increasing uncertainty in global institutions and multilateral systems

These dynamics highlight a key reality: Global South economies are navigating external shocks while managing internal structural vulnerabilities.

Resilience vs Growth: The Stability Challenge

A core insight from the discussion is the tension between resilience and long-term growth.

Across countries, communities continue to adapt to shocks—economic, political, and social. However, without stability, sustained growth remains difficult.

The episode highlights:

  • The importance of macroeconomic stability for long-term development
  • The cost of repeated shocks on growth trajectories
  • The limits of resilience without institutional certainty

While resilience enables survival, predictability and stability are essential for transformation.

Youth-Led Movements and Political Transitions

A defining trend across 2025 has been the rise of youth-driven uprisings and political mobilization across multiple regions.

From South Asia to Africa, the discussion reflects on:

  • Rapid, decentralized youth movements enabled by digital connectivity
  • Shifting state responses, from suppression to adaptation
  • The absence of traditional political structures in newer movements

These developments signal a broader shift in how political change emerges—faster, less structured, and more reactive.

South–South Cooperation and Reimagining Global Connections

Despite global uncertainty, the episode highlights a growing momentum in South–South collaboration:

  • Increasing economic and diplomatic engagement between Africa and Asia
  • Expanding regional cooperation platforms such as ASEAN
  • Renewed interest in trade, investment, and financial partnerships within the Global South

The discussion also reflects on a deeper historical reality:
Global South economies were interconnected long before modern global systems—and may be returning to those networks in new forms.

Lessons for Bangladesh: Policy Agility and Economic Positioning

Drawing from global experiences, the episode outlines key considerations for Bangladesh:

  • The need for agile policymaking in uncertain environments
  • Importance of maintaining policy continuity across political transitions
  • Strengthening trade diplomacy and international engagement
  • Moving beyond self-perception constraints to leverage global positioning

The conversation underscores that policy timing and adaptability often matter more than perfect planning.

Looking Ahead to 2026: Stability While Pivoting

As the Global South enters another year of uncertainty, two parallel forces are expected to shape the trajectory ahead:

  • Continued volatility requiring constant adaptation
  • Increasing efforts toward stability, economic reform, and growth

The episode concludes with a central proposition:

Sustainable progress in the Global South will depend on the ability to balance stability with continuous pivoting—managing shocks while building long-term resilience.

Watch J&J’s Fireside: Global Economy, Field Insights & Development Perspectives